Science · Hubble's next mission
Hubble needs a lift. NASA has a shrinking window to arrange one.
NASA is testing whether industry can boost or service the aging telescope by 2032. Its own forecast shows why that year is no guarantee of safety.
Written 5 min read · 16 sources
For scientists studying distant galaxies, stellar explosions or the atmospheres of other worlds, losing Hubble would mean losing a heavily used view of the universe—not simply saying goodbye to a famous telescope. NASA expects no replacement before approximately 2040. Keeping Hubble useful until then requires solving two different problems: its orbit is sinking, and its hardware is aging.12
NASA is now asking commercial companies whether they can help. An information request issued October 29, 2026, explores raising Hubble’s orbit, servicing the observatory to improve its capabilities, or arranging a managed end to its mission. Industry responses are due November 30 at 3 p.m. Eastern Standard Time. No rescue has been funded, contracted or scheduled through this request.312
The central question is not whether Hubble deserves more observing time. It is whether a company can reach it soon enough, handle it safely and offer a price NASA is prepared to pay.
A deadline with risk already inside
Hubble cannot boost itself. Atmospheric drag gradually lowers its altitude, and the telescope has no propulsion system to maintain its orbit. NASA’s October 30 announcement says atmospheric reentry is likely in 2033 or 2034 without intervention, so the agency anticipates that a mission would need to take place by 2032. That is a planning requirement, not an awarded launch date—or a promise that Hubble can safely wait that long.3
The information request gives a more revealing account of the clock. Citing a July 2026 lifetime analysis, it identifies a 10 percent probability of reentry by September 2032 and a 50 percent probability by December 2033. These are accumulating probabilities, not two appointments on a calendar. The earlier date already carries a meaningful chance that the opportunity to intervene will have passed.12
NASA’s orbit-raising option is specific. It wants to know whether industry can develop, test and operate a vehicle that captures Hubble in low Earth orbit and takes it to an altitude of at least 600 kilometers. That means reaching 600 kilometers above Earth, not adding 600 kilometers to the telescope’s existing altitude. A boost or servicing mission must avoid harming Hubble.12
Other possibilities remain on the table. Servicing could improve the observatory’s performance, resilience and expected working life. Controlled atmospheric reentry could manage its eventual disposal; NASA’s broader announcement also allows for orbital disposal. These are capabilities under examination, potentially separate or complementary, not three approved missions.312
A market test, not a mission
The distinction is written plainly in the request: “THIS IS NOT A REQUEST FOR PROPOSAL.” Companies are supplying information to help NASA test possible requirements and shape a potential acquisition strategy. The government makes no commitment through the notice and will not pay companies for their responses. A later solicitation remains conditional.12
What NASA wants now is evidence of capability rather than an attractive mission sketch. Respondents must identify work they can fully perform, give objective examples of relevant experience and explain how they would cover gaps. They are asked for launch, rendezvous and capture approaches, the maturity of key technologies and a completion timeline.12
The engineering questions reach well beyond making contact. How quickly could Hubble be rotating when a vehicle captures it? How long would the vehicle remain attached? How would the joined spacecraft be controlled? For a boost, companies must specify both the altitude gain and the lowest starting orbit from which their system could still reach the requested height.12
NASA also wants risk assessments, safeguards, the earliest achievable service date, estimated costs and payment schedules. Companies must identify the government facilities and other resources they would need. Goddard Space Flight Center would provide technical information, access to Hubble experts and coordinated telescope operations; the provider would supply the launch vehicle, servicing spacecraft and its mission operations. A crew is included only “if applicable”—NASA has not decided that astronauts would fly.12
Commercial intervention has been explored before. In September 2022, NASA entered an unfunded agreement with SpaceX to study whether Dragon could raise Hubble’s orbit. As WIRED recounts, that was a feasibility study, not a commitment to conduct or fund a servicing mission. It does not establish a winner or a working solution for the new request.1
There is also a recent caution against assuming a rescue will work because a spacecraft launches. WIRED reports that an effort to raise NASA’s Swift Observatory failed after the Katalyst Space Technologies spacecraft suffered an attitude-control malfunction following its July 2026 launch. Swift reentered over Indonesia on November 4. That failure does not determine Hubble’s prospects, but it illustrates why demonstrated control and reliable operations matter as much as the proposed destination.1
More altitude is only half the job
Hubble has been serviced five times since its 1990 launch, most recently by astronauts in 2009. Yet its pointing hardware has continued to deteriorate. In June 2024, NASA announced a transition to one-gyro operations after abnormal readings from one of the remaining working gyroscopes, which measure orientation. Another functioning gyro was held in reserve. That history is a reminder that raising an observatory’s orbit does not repair its instruments or spacecraft systems.1
The scientific case for trying is substantial. The information request describes Hubble’s observing time as more than seven-to-one oversubscribed and its research output as more than 1,000 scientific papers annually, with output growing. Its ultraviolet and optical observations complement Webb, Roman and other observatories, supporting work from planetary systems and exoplanet atmospheres to stellar life cycles and galaxy evolution.12
Hubble still has important science ahead of it, and we should be looking at every reasonable opportunity to keep it delivering for as long as possible.
NASA’s administrator frames an extension as a way to get more science from an asset taxpayers have already paid for. Nicky Fox, the agency’s science associate administrator, says commercial capture and servicing capabilities have advanced rapidly and wants to explore a boost while NASA develops the flagship mission intended to follow Hubble. Those are reasons to investigate, not evidence that a safe, affordable mission is ready.3
The potential successor identified in the request is the Habitable Worlds Observatory. Approximately 2040 is a planning horizon, not a guaranteed operational date. An extension could reduce the gap in access to Hubble’s capabilities, but only for as long as the telescope remains scientifically productive. Success would have to be measured in useful observing years, not altitude alone.12
The next concrete milestone is much closer: the November 30 industry-response deadline. NASA then has to decide whether the answers justify moving from information gathering toward procurement. The agency is asking the right practical question—what can industry actually deliver?—but asking it does not stop Hubble’s descent.212
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Orbital Wire
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As aired
- Hubble is losing altitude and can't raise its own orbit.
- NASA anticipates a mission would need to reach the telescope by 2032. Without intervention, Hubble will likely reenter the atmosphere in 2033 or 2034. The agency is asking commercial companies how they could help.
- Can industry deliver a safe, affordable mission before Hubble runs out of time?
- NASA puts the chance of reentry by September 2032 at ten percent. By December 2033, it's fifty percent. Those estimates come from a July lifetime analysis. They describe accumulating risk, so waiting until 2032 could already be too late.
- Atmospheric drag gradually lowers the telescope's altitude. Hubble has no propulsion system to counter it. The broad reentry window is a forecast, and NASA hasn't pinpointed when or where the telescope would come down.
- NASA opened this information request on October twenty-ninth. It's asking what companies can deliver and whether possible requirements are realistic. A rescue hasn't been funded, contracted or scheduled. NASA won't pay companies for submitting their information.
- The agency is considering an orbit boost, servicing that improves Hubble's performance and resilience, and a managed end to its mission. That could mean controlled atmospheric reentry or disposal in orbit. These capabilities could be alternatives or work together.
- For an orbit boost, NASA wants a vehicle that can capture Hubble and take it to at least 600 kilometers above Earth. Companies would have to develop, test and operate that vehicle without harming the telescope.
- Companies must explain how their spacecraft would approach and capture Hubble, and how mature the key technologies are. NASA also wants the maximum telescope rotation their capture system could tolerate, how long they'd stay attached, and how they'd control the joined spacecraft.
- Goddard would supply technical information, access to Hubble experts and coordinated telescope operations. The commercial provider would supply the launch vehicle, spacecraft and its mission operations. NASA leaves room for a crew if needed, without choosing whether astronauts would fly.
- For a boost, companies must specify the altitude gain and the lowest starting orbit their system could work from. They must assess risks to Hubble, explain safeguards and give their earliest service date. NASA also wants costs, payment schedules and the government resources each company would need.
- Subscribe to this channel as NASA tests whether industry can reach Hubble safely and in time.
- Astronauts have serviced Hubble five times since its 1990 launch. NASA canceled the final visit after the Columbia disaster in 2003, then reconsidered the risks and benefits. The mission flew in 2009 and included battery replacement.
- NASA explored commercial help before this request. In September 2022, it entered a no-funding agreement with SpaceX to study whether Dragon could raise Hubble's orbit. That agreement examined feasibility. NASA had no plans then to conduct or fund the servicing mission itself.
- A spacecraft malfunction ended an effort to lift NASA's Swift Observatory. NASA commissioned Katalyst Space Technologies in September 2025. Its spacecraft launched in July 2026, but an attitude-control failure forced the mission to be abandoned.
- Swift reentered the atmosphere over Indonesia on November fourth. Hubble's proposed intervention would face its own technical and financial tests. Companies must identify relevant experience, show which tasks they can fully perform, and explain how they'd handle gaps in their capabilities.
- Hubble's pointing hardware has also deteriorated. In June 2024, NASA announced a move to operation with one gyro, a device that measures orientation. Three of its original six were still working, but one gave abnormal readings. Another functioning gyro is held in reserve.
- Raising Hubble's orbit could preserve more observing time. Servicing could also improve its performance and resistance to failures. The scientific case depends on both, because a telescope that stays aloft still needs working instruments and reliable spacecraft systems.
- Hubble's observing time is more than seven-to-one oversubscribed. Its work produces more than a thousand scientific papers annually, and that output is growing. NASA expects no replacement before approximately 2040, with Habitable Worlds Observatory identified as a potential successor.
- Hubble's ultraviolet and optical observations complement Webb, Roman and other observatories. Scientists use it to study planetary systems and exoplanet atmospheres, stellar life cycles and galaxy evolution. Its work also measures the temperature and chemistry of material inside galaxies and between them.
- NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman says Hubble still has important science ahead. He wants the agency to explore innovative, cost-effective ways to extend its life, linking more discoveries to better use of an asset taxpayers have already paid for.
- Keeping Hubble useful could reduce a gap before a successor begins work. The approximately 2040 horizon is a planning estimate, and the benefit depends on how long Hubble's instruments and other systems can continue operating.
- Nicky Fox, NASA's associate administrator for science, says commercial capture and servicing capabilities have advanced rapidly. She wants to explore boosting Hubble while NASA develops the flagship observatory intended to follow it.
- NASA is also asking how to widen participation. Companies should identify possible partners, including international ones, and suggest realistic roles for small businesses. The agency wants obstacles spelled out, from certification and specialized tools to security requirements and high-risk work.
- Companies must describe their business size and applicable socioeconomic status. NASA is considering smaller work packages, subcontracting opportunities and teaming or mentor-protégé arrangements. Those responses would help shape a possible acquisition strategy and test whether the proposed work is practical.
- Responses are limited to twenty-five pages and must arrive electronically as unlocked PDFs. NASA specifies twelve-point Times New Roman for paragraphs, single spacing and one-inch margins. Companies can't submit export-controlled material. They must clearly mark proprietary information, which NASA may use for future planning.
- Hubble is a joint NASA–European Space Agency project. Goddard in Greenbelt, Maryland, manages the telescope and mission operations, with support from Denver-based Lockheed Martin Space. The Space Telescope Science Institute in Baltimore conducts science operations.
- The institute is operated by the Association of Universities for Research in Astronomy. NASA may identify respondents in public discussions of the results, and it may not answer submitted questions. Any later solicitation would appear through the federal contracting system.
- Companies have until November thirtieth, at three p.m. Eastern, to respond. NASA then has to judge whether their ideas offer a safe, affordable mission that can arrive in time, and decide whether to seek formal bids.
- For now, NASA is testing commercial capabilities while Hubble continues losing altitude. The anticipated intervention year is 2032, but the modeled risk of reentry reaches ten percent by September of that year.





