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The 2026 El Niño episode

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UmuusadSusunod na pagsusuri sa Nob 1: The forecast winter peak, expected in November–December 2026, and whether Pacific sea-surface temperatures later return to neutral and the episode is declared over.

Kung nasaan na ito

The developing tropical Pacific El Niño has strengthened from about 0.5°C to about 2°C above normal, and was still strengthening in the latest report. Its peak remains ahead, expected this winter; the episode has not been declared over.

Patuloy na balitaAraw 22

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20 tahimik na araw
  • Wala pang pangyayaring may petsa
  1. Update 1Pacific Heat Surges Past 36C as Met Office Warns Strongest El Ni7o in Living Memory
  2. Update 2August Tied the Hottest Month Ever Recorded — and the Worst Heat Is Still Coming

Ang balita sa ngayon

  1. Update 2Pagkalipas ng 22 araw

    August Tied the Hottest Month Ever Recorded — and the Worst Heat Is Still Coming

    August 2026 matched July 2023 at 1.65°C above pre-industrial, breaching 1.5°C before an unprecedented El Niño reaches its winter peak.

    Ang umusad

    • August 2026 averages 16.96°C, tying July 2023 as joint-hottest month at 1.65°C above pre-industrial.
    • El Niño peak window expected, with some coming months possibly running near 2°C above average.

    Bukas pa pagkatapos ng ulat na ito

    • No final European excess-death toll covering the full period and region.
    • No confirmed peak strength for the still-building El Niño.

  2. Update 1

    Pacific Heat Surges Past 36C as Met Office Warns Strongest El Ni7o in Living Memory

    The Met Office says the Pacific warming could top 336C, with some guidance near 46C 2 record heat, fires and crop risks into 2027.

    Bukas pa pagkatapos ng ulat na ito

    • No single agreed peak value between just above 3°C and near 4°C, and no settled regional breakdown of flood versus drought severity.

Kasaysayan

  1. Binuksan1 ulat

Sino ang sangkot

Mga tao

  • Adam ScaifeBritish meteorologist (born 1970)1 ulat
  • James E. HansenAmerican climatologist (1941-)1 ulat

Mga lugar

  • IndonesiaIndonesia2 ulat
  • ArcticArctic1 ulat
  • EuropeEurope1 ulat
  • IndiaIndia1 ulat
  • North AmericaNorth America1 ulat
  • Pacific OceanPacific Ocean1 ulat
  • Panama CanalPanama Canal, Panama1 ulat
  • ParisParis, France1 ulat

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