Reportage4,15 $ aujourd’hui, moins de 2 $ après novembre : la promesse de Trump sur l’essence à l’épreuve de la guerreRédigé 10 septembre 2026 à 05:00 UTCRegarderTranscription0:00Trump promises $2 gas and an end to the war right after the election, with oil above0:05$100 and the average gallon at $4.10.0:09That promise would cut the pump price by more than half.0:12But no mechanism, no timeline, no off-ramp, so what actually happens next?0:17The six-month war has centered here, on the Strait of Hormuz, where the exchange of0:21fire resumed after a month-long lull, analysts call it a dangerous, potentially0:26unsustainable military stalemate.0:27The war began with a strike that killed Iran's supreme leader.0:31It has gone through a lull, and now the exchanges are back with no end in sight.0:35The national average sits at about $4.15.0:37The promise is below $2, which would mean more than halving the pump price.0:41The last time that happened was January 2016.0:44Crude oil is the biggest slice, about 61% on that breakdown.0:48Ad refining, distribution, and taxes, and getting below $2 means crude has to fall0:54far below current levels, and the tax structure would stay untouched.0:58The president says Iran has 300% inflation.1:01Iran's Statistical Center reports 84.4% year-on-year as of September, severe, among1:06the highest in modern history, but not 300.1:09The Riel hit a record low of about $2.25 million to the dollar on September 5 after1:15losing roughly 60% of its value since March under a new sanctions campaign that1:19Treasury Secretary Scott Besant announced in late August.1:23So what happens next?1:24Nothing in the evidence supports the promised payoff.1:27The war continues.1:28Oil is above $100, and analysts point to the same election date for the opposite1:32reason.1:33Rising costs may pressure the White House to de-escalate, not because victory is1:37near, but because the political price of continuing the war keeps climbing.Lire l’articleChronologie de l’histoireHeyDexLe format court ↗
