עדכון 3 מתוך 3האחרוןיום 29כעבור 9 ימים
AfD on Track for First Far-Right State Government in Germany
First forecasts put the AfD at 44.5 percent in Saxony-Anhalt, more than doubling 2021 and leaving the CDU at 18.5 percent. An absolute majority — 42 of 83 seats — now hinges on the five-percent hurdle.
מה השתנה
- 44.5%AfD forecast share, first exit
- 18.5%CDU forecast share, collapse
- ~65%Turnout by 16:00, above 2021
- 42Seats needed in 83-seat house
- First forecasts put AfD at 44-44.5 percent and CDU at 18.5 percent.
- 83 seats are at stake and 42 are needed for an absolute majority.
- Turnout by 16:00 was about 65 percent, above full 2021 turnout.
מה שנותר פתוח אז
- No certified result yet, and no confirmed BSW decision on five percent.
- No confirmed AfD seat total, and no path to a coalition if it falls short.
מה שאמרנו שנעקוב אחריו
- Whether the certified count early Monday gives the AfD 42 seats alone.
- Whether a CDU minority would need Left abstentions and test the other half of the firewall.


