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Pickaxe Mountain: the 100-Metre Target the US Says It Can Hit, and Cannot Yet Prove It Can
Trump is threatening a strike on a fortified Iranian nuclear site buried deep in a mountain. The only number anyone can agree on is the depth — and that is precisely the problem.
Cosa sapevamo all'inizio
- Trump has publicly threatened to strike Pickaxe Mountain "pretty soon" and "very heavily," and the site is estimated to lie roughly 100 metres inside a mountain on the south side of the Natanz complex.
- Pickaxe Mountain was deliberately spared during the 2025 US air campaign against Natanz, and as of the reporting on file it has not been struck.
Allora ancora aperto
- Whether the US has publicly identified the weapon system and intelligence picture that would be used against the site, and whether that combination can reach the reported depth.
- What the facility is intended to hold and how far construction has progressed inside the mountain.
- What diplomatic off-ramp, if any, is being negotiated in parallel with the threat.
Cosa avevamo detto di seguire
- Whether new satellite imagery shows construction stopping, slowing, or accelerating after Trump's statements.
- Whether the US discloses the specific weapons, basing, and target package being prepared for a strike.
- Whether Iran responds with the wider regional escalation its spokesmen have threatened.
