Ciência · 2050 heatwave30,000 mortes excedentes: o verão brutal da Europa, medido do espaço e nos necrotériosEscrito 7 de setembro de 2026 às 21:22 UTCAssistirTranscrição0:00Europe is now living with heat [music]0:01not expected until 2050, warming faster0:04than most places on Earth0:05>> [music]0:05>> and faster than scientists projected0:07with temperatures forecast for 20500:09already being reached in 2026. [music]0:11Satellite comparisons make the0:13acceleration visible. In France, the0:15landscape [music] flipped from lush0:16green to dry brown in just 9 days during0:19the recent heatwave while in Germany,0:20the Rhine grew much narrower within a0:22single [music] year. Alpine glaciers are0:24disappearing at the same time and0:26related heat stress is being tracked in0:28Poland [music]0:29showing how land, water, and ice are0:31responding together. The hottest0:33temperatures [music] are now 3 to 4° C0:36hotter than they would have been in a0:37world without fossil fuel [music]0:38emissions. During a single heatwave in0:41late June 2026, more than 10,000 excess0:44deaths were recorded across Europe. That0:46added heat has made conditions prone to0:48wildfire far more likely fueling [music]0:50simultaneous large fires that are0:52straining fighting capacity. Last year,0:54the World Meteorological Organization0:56recommended [music] governments prepare0:58for summer heat like winter flu season.1:00A model now illustrated in the United1:01Kingdom where the national mapping1:03agency is using location data and drones1:05to identify at-risk [music] homes and1:06infrastructure. What is not yet detailed1:09is which specific papers and models1:11produce the 2050 forecasts now being1:13overtaken [music] and for which1:14variables, what methods and baselines1:17sit behind the 3 to 4° and wildfire1:19likelihood estimates,1:20>> [music]1:20>> how those more than 10,000 excess deaths1:22were counted and distributed by country,1:24age, and cause, and where and how1:26severely wildfire strain is hitting1:28[music] now. Gaps that will determine1:30whether water, health, and fire systems1:32can cope when 2050 heat arrives decades1:34early.1:35Like and follow for more stories that1:37matter.Ler o artigoCronologia da históriaHeyDexO vídeo curto ↗
