Economy · Nvidia profit doublesNvidia Doubles Profit to $59.6B and Guides 70% Growth Next YearAired August 27, 2026 at 4:14 PM UTCWritten September 7, 2026 at 9:22 PM UTCRead the write-upThis storyTranscript · LOADING0:00NVIDIA just more than doubled profit to $59.06 billion in a single quarter.0:05That record quarter is now driving almost every dollar of AI infrastructure spending0:09from chips to gigawatts of new data centers with NVIDIA's sales at the center of it.0:14Can that 70% growth actually be delivered when supply is tight and NVIDIA itself is0:19guaranteeing customer financing to buy the chips?0:22Fiscal second quarter 2027 ended July 26th.0:26Revenue was $96.2 billion, verified as $96.221 billion, up about0:31$106% from $46.743 billion a year earlier.0:36Profit was $59.6 billion, reported as $59.688 billion, up about0:42$126% from $26.42 billion, both more than doubled year over year.0:47The beat was not narrow.0:48Revenue came in about $4 billion above consensus.0:51Adjusted earnings were $2.22 against about $2.08 to $2.10 expected.0:57Data Center was $89 billion against about $85 billion expected, and guidance for the1:03current third quarter, $108 billion plus or minus 2%, also topped expectations.1:09It is the 15th consecutive quarter beating Wall Street on record revenue, even as1:13the size of those beats has been narrowing.1:15Data Center was $891:17billion, up 117%, and more than 92% of total sales.1:23Hyperscale was about $48.7 billion, up 102%.1:28AI Cloud, Industrial and Enterprise was about $40.3 billion, up 138%1:34and growing faster sequentially than hyperscale.1:36Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress framed next fiscal year, fiscal 2028 ending1:41January or February 2028, described as 70% growth in 2027 at about 70%.1:47That is up from about 44% to 45% previously expected.1:51It is a supply-constrained outlook, not a demand ceiling.1:54Customer forecasts implied demand could roughly double around 100% growth.1:58but memory and high bandwidth memory, packaging and related supply limit what NVIDIA2:03can confidently deliver to about 70%.2:05Management described compute as revenue now, tokens as productive and profitable.2:09Two anchors support that 70%.2:12Forward supply and capacity commitments jumped to $279 billion from $119 billion2:18the prior quarter, mostly memory stretching into fiscal 2029 and beyond.2:22And the new Vera Rubin platform is ramping into full production, already running at2:26Coreweave, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure, Oracle, and Nabius, expected to be about2:3120% of data center revenue in the third quarter.2:33After the headline print shares dipped, then recovered to rise almost 5% during and2:38after the call, that swing steadied the broader bet on capital spending by the2:41buyers NVIDIA depends on.2:43Concentration is shifting but still concentrated.2:46Hyperscalers including Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta have accounted for2:50roughly half or more of data center in some periods.2:53Frontier labs including OpenAI, Anthropic, and XAI are expected to be about a2:58quarter of business next year.3:00NeoClouds combined are headed to about eight gigawatts of installed NVIDIA GPU3:04capacity by year-end from about three gigawatts at the end of 2025, with AWS alone3:10adding about two million GPUs in 2027 to 2028.3:14Per gigawatt revenue is rising with each generation, and demand is broadening.3:18Valuation was described at about 18 times forward earnings on share prices around3:23210 dias against rising consensus estimates for the next 12 months, down from more3:28than 30 times at prior highs as earnings have surged.3:31The range moves day to day in the high teens to low twenties depending on the3:34estimate set and whether GAAP or non-GAYEP is used.3:38It is pricing NVIDIA as an infrastructure toll collector, not a speculative chip3:42stock.3:43Inside the same record results is the contradiction the market is watching.3:46Financing.3:47To help customers buy its products, NVIDIA has offered guarantees.3:51These are not a direct $500 billion cash commitment, but memorandums of3:55understanding.3:56subject to final agreements with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman4:00Sachs, and KKR to mobilize more than $500 billion in third-party capital over time.4:06NVIDIA may provide residual value support of up to twenty five percent per4:09opportunity, covering shortfalls in resale value of GPUs.4:13A linked set of guarantees capped at $105 billion relates to about 4.25 gigawatts of4:19IT load, with an option for more at SB Energy's Ports Pike Technology Campus in Pike4:24County, Ohio, where SB Energy builds, owns, and operates, and an OpenAI affiliate4:29leases for 20 years.4:30Those guarantees would become effective in phases starting around fiscal 2029.4:35Cover-defined portions of lease and power payments, not the full site cost, are4:39triggered on certain tenant defaults and decline over the 20-year terms, with NVIDIA4:43retaining options to assume the lease, relate, or sell alongside an investment in SB4:48Energy reported around $1.5 billion.4:51Smaller exposures, around $3.5 billion, and take or pay or revenue backstops for4:56cloud GPU capacity.4:57have also been noted.4:59Analysts put total contingent exposures in the hundreds of billions.5:08The concern is circularity.5:10Third-party capital depends on NVIDIA hardware value and utilization.5:14And if monetization slows, residual values fall, or power, transformers and5:19construction delay deployment guarantees could be called Management has stressed5:23limited project-specific risk and strong underlying demand while acknowledging5:27supply will remain a bottleneck at least through the end of fiscal 2028, and that no5:32China data center compute is assumed in the near-term outlook.5:35If the 70% path holds, it means another year of hyperscaler and neo-cloud capital5:40expenditure, gigawatts of new load and pressure on grids, land and water where5:44campuses are sited, with spillovers into index returns that now move with NVIDIA.5:49If financing tightens or supply stays constrained, costs shift to customers locked5:53into 20-year power and lease commitments and to communities counting on builds that5:57arrive later or smaller than planned.Explore with HeyDexThe shortThe short ↗