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51 to 48: Democrat Leads Paxton in Texas, and the Senate Map Shifts
James Talarico's three-point edge over Ken Paxton is small — but a string of polls now points the same way in a state Democrats haven't won in decades.
முதலில் தெரிந்தவை
- Fox News poll released July 30, 2026, showed Talarico leading Paxton 51% to 48%.
- An earlier Fox News poll published June 30, 2026, had Paxton and Talarico tied.
- June 23 UT-Austin poll found the race neck and neck, with Paxton consolidating Republicans and Talarico leading independents and moderates.
- July 28 Texas Public Opinion Research poll had Talarico up 5 points in the race to replace retiring Sen. John Cornyn.
- Aug. 4 Texas Southern poll had Talarico at 47% and Paxton at 45%, the third straight poll with Talarico ahead.
- Aug. 7-8 Texas Pulse survey had Talarico ahead 47% to 43% among likely voters, up from a tie in June.
- Paxton dismissed the deficit and accused Talarico of hiding a socialist agenda while running as a moderate.
அப்போது தீராதவை
- No margin of error, sample size, or field dates were provided in the available Fox poll account, so the precision of the 3-point edge cannot be judged.
- No full verbatim transcript of Paxton's August 6 remarks is available beyond the reported socialist characterization and his stated plan to press his message.
கவனிப்போம் என்று சொன்னவை
- Whether the next independent statewide poll confirms a durable Talarico edge or snaps back to a tie.
- Whether Republican crossover support for Talarico persists once the general-election advertising campaign fully engages.
