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20-35 Minutes: The Brutal Math of Russia's War in Ukraine
Survival is counted in minutes, advances in square kilometres, and losses in the hundreds of thousands. The numbers point to a war that moves but does not decide.
最初掌握的資訊
- ISW assessed 37.85 sq km gained in July 2026 at 1.22 sq km per day.
- ISW assessed 30.42 sq km gained in June 2026 at 1.01 sq km per day, versus 481.25 sq km in June 2025.
- Average of 1,132 casualties per sq km seized in July, as reported via ISW.
- CIA director estimated front-line recruits survive 20 to 30 minutes before killed or wounded.
當時尚無定論
- No verified source here for the 0.8% land figure, the 50/70/90-metre daily advances, or the Kramatorsk underground-army claim.
- No confirmed attribution here for a UK intelligence death toll or a May 2026 net territorial loss.
我們說過將關注的
- Whether the casualty-per-kilometre ratio keeps rising if drone density keeps rising.
- Whether ISW's flat monthly rate since February finally breaks up or down in the autumn.