بلایای طبیعی · Aleutian marine warningAleutian Wind Warnings Extend Overnight With 32-Foot Seas Forecastمکتوب ۱۶ مهر ۱۴۰۵ ساعت ۴:۴۷ (UTC)تماشامتن پیادهشده0:09Aleutian wind warnings carry a forecast of 65 knot winds and 32 foot seas.0:14For vessels between Kiska and Attu, the danger combines powerful winds, changing0:19wind direction, and very high seas.0:21The latest warning headlines extend into Thursday morning, but the roughwater0:24forecast reaches beyond that deadline.0:26Does the stated warning end mark an easing of the danger?0:29The warnings name two separate marine areas, Kiska to Attu Bering Side and Kiska to0:34Atu Pacific side.0:36Those names establish the general location, not precise offshore boundaries.0:40The exact marine zone codes and the limits of each warning have not been0:43independently established.0:45The latest pair was issued October 7th, 2026 at 3.08 p.m.0:49Alaska Daylight Time.0:50Both headlines give an end of 5 a.m.0:52October 8th.0:53On the Bering side, southeast winds are forecast at 65 knots early Wednesday night,0:58becoming west winds of 55 knots with gusts to 65 knots in the evening.1:01The Pacific side's later west wind is 50 knots, not the Bering side's 55.1:06Thursday seas are forecast at 31 feet on the Bering side and 32 feet on the Pacific1:10side.1:11Both Thursday forecasts call for southwest winds of 50 knots.1:14Bering side seas are forecast at 28 feet tonight, then 31 feet Thursday, with rain1:19showers.1:19The wind shifts from southeast to west and then southwest.1:22Lower subsequent sustained wind speeds do not erase the sea threat.1:26Thursday's predicted Bering Side Cs are higher than tonight's.1:29The reason for the one-foot difference between the two sides is not established.1:32A hurricane force wind warning does not announce a tropical hurricane approaching1:36Alaska.1:37Its threshold is sustained winds or frequent gusts of at least 64 knots, equivalent1:42to 74 miles an hour.1:44The forecast of 65 knots clears that threshold.1:47The category covers predicted or occurring winds and can include frequent gusts at1:52the threshold.1:52It does not require every later sustained wind forecast to remain at hurricane1:56force.1:57This account does not establish the storm's track, pressure, or meteorological2:01development, and it does not establish that the forecast winds have already2:05occurred.2:05No observed wind and wave outcomes have been verified for these exact waters.2:09No casualty, vessel loss, rescue, or damage report is established in this warning2:14account.2:14Earlier alerts instructed recipients to avoid the hazard.2:17That instruction is not evidence of an actual incident.2:20A forecast of thirty one or thirty two feet is not a stated maximum individual wave.2:25Forecast Cs mean the average of the highest one third of combined wind wave and2:29swell heights.2:30Wind forecasts likewise describe the predominant speed and direction expected, not2:34measured conditions.2:36The latest warnings extend the stated headline period by twelve hours.2:40Earlier Bearing Side products ended at 5 p.m.2:42October 7th.2:43The latest pair names 5 a.m.2:45october 8th.2:46The earlier products also carried different forecast periods, so their 70 knot2:50afternoon outlooks must not be treated as competing measurements against the latest2:5465 knot early night forecast.2:55A Pacific side warning was issued October 6th at 3.08 p.m.2:59Alaska Daylight Time.3:01Bearing side warnings followed October 7th at 2.58 AM and 7.22 AM.3:06The latest pair arrived at 3.08 PM extending the headline end into Thursday morning.3:11The October 6th Pacific Outlook predicted south winds rising from 45 to 70 knots3:16Wednesday afternoon, with seas building from 21 to 30 feet.3:19The October 7th morning Bearing Outlooks predicted south winds rising from 45 to 703:24knots and seas building from 18 to 25 feet.3:26These were forecasts, not verified observations.3:29From Shemyo westward, the earlier Bearing Outlook specified south winds increasing3:33from 40 to 50 knots, with gusts to 65.3:37Both morning products forecast 28-foot seas tonight and 32 feet Thursday.3:41The latest Bearing Thursday forecast supersedes that 32-foot value with 31 feet.3:46The older timing fields were inconsistent.3:48The October 6th Pacific product listed onset at 1300 UTC October 7th,3:53expiration at 11.30 UTC that day, and end at Vero 100 UTC, October 8th.4:00Expiration preceded onset.4:02The morning bearing products separately listed expiration at 23.30 UTC October 7th4:07and end at Vero 100 UTC October 8th.4:09The latest Pacific alert still separates expiration from end.4:131130 UTC October 8th vs.4:151300 UTC.4:17That is 3.30 a.m.4:18vs.4:185 a.m.4:19Alaska Daylight Time, a 90-minute gap.4:21Which field governs operationally has not been established.4:24Expiration alone does not establish cancellation.4:27The latest Pacific Alert lists sent and effective times at 2308 UTC October 7th,4:32with onset separately at 01 Hogue UTC October 8th or 5 p.m.4:36Alaska Daylight Time October 7th.4:39The first morning bearing alert likewise became effective when issued at 1058 UTC4:44while separately listing onset at 13 Hogan UTC or 5 a.m.4:48Alaska Daylight Time is UTC minus 8, not minus 7.4:52Thus 2308 UTC means 3.08 p.m.4:55October 7th and 1300 UTC means 5 a.m.4:59October 8th.5:00Western Aleutian Daylight Time is UTC minus 9.5:03ADAC is one hour behind Anchorage.5:05A structured bearing side timestamp used a minus 7 offset.5:08That error is corrected here.5:10Islands west of 169 degrees 30 minutes west use Hawaii Aleutian Daylight Time, but5:14the products explicitly labeled Alaska Daylight Time must retain that convention.5:18The older morning bearing expiration and end were 3:30 p.m.5:21and 5 p.m.5:22Alaska Daylight Time.5:23The earlier labels were extreme severity, immediate urgency, observed certainty, and5:28avoid response.5:29That observed label does not prove every forecast speed or sea height occurred.5:33A subsequent replacement, extension, or cancellation has not been verified, nor have5:38precise warning boundaries or observed outcomes.5:40A broader Aleutian coastal forecast describes waters up to 100 nautical miles out,5:46but that does not establish either warnings offshore reach.5:49The answer to the opening question is no.5:51The headline deadline does not forecast safe water.5:54Even if the warnings end as scheduled at 1300 UTC October 8th, the issued Thursday6:00forecasts still call for southwest winds of 50 knots and seas of 31 feet on the6:04Bering side and 32 feet on the Pacific side.مقاله را بخوانیدخط زمانی داستانHeyDexویدیوی کوتاه ↗
