The Trishuli River glacial-collapse flood

چه چیزی تغییر کرد

• More than 5,000Reported missing, October 8
• 1,455Reported deaths in Nepal, October 6
• 32,021Children affected in UNICEF’s assessment

چه چیزی تغییر کرد

• 5,030Pregnant women estimated affected in Nepal
• ~750Projected emergency-care needs over three months

چه چیزی تغییر کرد

• Two workers, Shah and Maharjan, were rescued alive Sept 4 after nine days in Trishuli 3A tunnel
• Two more people, a Chinese man and a Nepali woman, were rescued alive Sept 5
• At least 1,380 were reported killed and 5,500+ missing by Sept 7, with national mourning
• Eleven hydropower projects and a solar plant were damaged, with hundreds still missing

آنچه آن زمان روشن نبود

• No confirmed account of how anyone survived nine to ten days underground, or their medical condition
• No reconciled final toll, and no verified total for how many remain inside tunnels versus missing elsewhere

آنچه گفتیم پیگیری می‌کنیم

• Whether tunnel crews can reach the 121 officials say may still be trapped before monsoon water and mud close the remaining voids
• Whether missing lists from Nepal and Tibet converge into a single credible toll, or keep diverging

چه چیزی تغییر کرد

• 903 dead and 4,247 missing in Nepal, plus 16 dead and 546 missing in Tibet, on Aug. 31.
• More than 600 workers believed trapped in mud-filled tunnels along the Trishuli River.
• Unidentified bodies temporarily buried in trenches in Chitwan district.

آنچه آن زمان روشن نبود

• No verified contact with or rescue of workers trapped in the hydropower tunnels.
• No settled reconciliation of the competing 919, 939 and 1,000-plus death tolls.

آنچه گفتیم پیگیری می‌کنیم

• Whether tunnel crews can reach any survivable space before mud, water and time close it.
• How authorities identify the trench-buried dead and revise the missing lists.

چه چیزی تغییر کرد

• Glacier and bedrock collapse is the most likely trigger, not an earthquake
• Barrier lake above Gyirong and flooding along the Trishuli show cross-border reach
• More than 1,000 dead by Sept 1, with searches continuing at hydropower sites

آنچه آن زمان روشن نبود

• No agreed missing total; reports range from hundreds of foreigners to thousands overall
• No verified single timeline for damming, bursting and downstream arrival

آنچه گفتیم پیگیری می‌کنیم

• Whether the Gyirong barrier lake can be lowered before a second outburst
• Whether hydropower-site searches revise the toll again

آنچه ابتدا می‌دانستیم

• Nearly 1,500 missing across Nepal and Tibet, including at least 800 foreigners.
• At least 160 confirmed dead, with an early count of 165; tallies conflict.
• Nepal and China warned of fresh flood risks from a lake threatening to burst.
• Helicopters searched for survivors and dropped supplies to thousands cut off.

آنچه آن زمان روشن نبود

• Exact surge height, road and power losses, aid amounts and delivery, and nationality-by-nationality missing lists.
• Whether the source was a Tibet glacial-lake outburst or a Nepal Bhote Koshi glacier avalanche, or both in sequence.

آنچه گفتیم پیگیری می‌کنیم

• Whether searchers reach cut-off villages before high water, debris or a second release closes the window.
• Whether confirmed deaths converge as Nepal and Tibet reconcile separate tallies.