राजनीति · ब्राजील runoffबोल्सोनारो के बेटे ने लूला पर 1.9 अंक की बढ़त बनाई, और लूला को आगे बताने वाले सर्वे गलत लगते हैंलिखित 5 अक्टूबर 2026 को 5:38 pm UTC बजेदेखेंप्रतिलेख0:09A first-time candidate just beat Brazil's president in round one by under two0:14points.0:14He is Flavio Bolsonaro, 45, son of a former president serving 27 years for a coup,0:19and he has pledged amnesty for his father.0:22Neither he nor Lula cleared 50%, so the two meet in a runoff.0:26The question: Can Lula, 80, close the gap, or do the defeated candidates' votes0:31carry Flavio past the line?0:32With every ballot counted, Flavio took 47.03% of valid votes, about0:3756.1 million.0:39Lula took 45.16%, about 53 million.0:43Everyone else shared roughly 7.8%.0:46That gap is the smallest in a first round in Brazilian history.0:49The published figures differ slightly, since 47,4016 is 1.87, likely0:55rounding.0:56Early counts made it look wider, and 97% counted.0:59It was 47.42 to 44.70.1:02Lula collected about 3.4 million fewer votes than in his 2022 first round.1:07even as valid votes hit a record 119.3 million.1:11Flavio won the most votes in 15 states, Lula in 12 units.1:15Lula told supporters in São Paulo he was surprised and had expected to win outright.1:20The result beat most private polls, and a July poll had him ahead of Flavio in a1:24runoff.1:25We reported in August that the two were polling closely.1:28The arithmetic runs through those other candidates.1:31Flavio needs about three more points of valid votes to reach 50%, Lula needs nearly1:36five.1:36The expectation is that those mostly right-wing votes move to Flavio, but that is a1:41forecast, not a result.1:42Flavio is courting defeated candidates, counting on São Paulo Governor Tarcicio de1:46Freitas, and planning a bigger push in the Northeast.1:49No formal endorsement from any defeated candidate had been established by Monday,1:54and no runoff poll has surfaced.1:55The amnesty pledge makes this runoff partly a vote on whether a convicted coup2:00leader walks free.2:01Reports differ on whether Jair Bolsonaro is jailed or under house arrest.2:05He has backed his son from custody.2:08Flavio has also pledged closer ties with the United States and would likely join the2:12U.S.-led shield of the Americas anti-Narco coalition, though that assessment is less2:16firmly sourced.2:18Donald Trump's backing of Flavio is less overt than in Colombia or Argentina, while2:23Lula has taken an anti-US line.2:25At home, the top concerns are crime and security, including femicide, and a weak2:30economy with interest rates above 13%.2:32Those are the pressures a challenger has used against an incumbent of 80.2:36Brazil's electronic voting system is secure, but doubts about it have grown.2:40Flavio and Jair Bolsonaro have alleged problems without concrete evidence.2:44Whether either press's fraud claims after a first-round Flavio one is open, and a2:49closer runoff would raise the stakes of any such claim.2:51Investors read the result as favorable to Flavio.2:54Brazilian markets were expected to jump on Monday on hopes for fiscal reform and2:58lower interest rates, and a Brazil-focused ETF in Tokyo rose 7.6% in early trading.3:03The actual moves in the Abospa and the Real are not yet established.3:07One estimate says a Flavio win could cut 10-year yields by 70 basis points and lift3:11the Real almost 3%.3:12That is a scenario, not an outcome, and it shows what capital wants, not what the3:17public needs.3:18So can Lula close the gap?3:20That is unknown.3:21No runoff poll exists yet.3:22No defeated candidate has formally endorsed Flavio and turnout and congressional3:26results are not established.3:28What is known, Flavio needs about three points.3:30Lula nearly five and on October 25th Jair Bolsonaro's amnesty, U.S.3:35alignment, crime and a 13% interest rate economy are all on the ballot.लेख पढ़ेंखबर की समयरेखाHeyDexसंक्षिप्त वीडियो ↗किसने क्या बतायाएक से अधिक संस्थानों द्वारा बताए गए बिंदु✓First-round vote shares for Bolsonaro and Lulaस्वतंत्र रूप से पुष्टि · 7 समाचार माध्यम✓Date and candidates for the presidential runoffस्वतंत्र रूप से पुष्टि · 7 समाचार माध्यम✓No candidate won an outright majorityस्वतंत्र रूप से पुष्टि · 5 समाचार माध्यम✓Bolsonaro finished ahead of Lula in the first roundस्वतंत्र रूप से पुष्टि · 3 समाचार माध्यमJair Bolsonaro’s sentence for plotting a coup3 समाचार माध्यम✓Lula’s bid for a fourth presidential termस्वतंत्र रूप से पुष्टि · 2 समाचार माध्यम✓Bolsonaro’s pledge to pardon his fatherस्वतंत्र रूप से पुष्टि · 2 समाचार माध्यमOther candidates’ voters in the runoff2 समाचार माध्यमFirst-round abstention rate2 समाचार माध्यमJair Bolsonaro’s imprisonment and support for his son2 समाचार माध्यमकेवल एक संस्थान द्वारा बताए गए बिंदु14केवल DW News ने बतायाBolsonaro’s result compared with pre-election polls5 अक्टू॰, 3:59 pm UTCVoters unwilling to support either political camp4 अक्टू॰, 5:15 pm UTCTrump administration’s support for Bolsonaro4 अक्टू॰, 5:15 pm UTCकेवल ABC News (Australia) ने बतायाIssues shaping voters’ concerns5 अक्टू॰, 3:00 am UTCTrump and Lula’s positions toward the United States5 अक्टू॰, 3:00 am UTCकेवल BBC News ने बतायाLula’s reaction to the first-round result5 अक्टू॰, 3:40 am UTCFirst-round voting took place on Sunday5 अक्टू॰, 4:51 am UTCकेवल The Guardian ने बतायाLiberal Party’s Senate caucus size5 अक्टू॰, 4:05 pm UTCBolsonaro’s plan to change the constitution7 अक्टू॰, 3:03 pm UTCBolsonaro relatives elected to Congress5 अक्टू॰, 4:05 pm UTCRecord of first-round runners-up in runoffs5 अक्टू॰, 4:05 pm UTCकेवल FRANCE 24 English ने बतायाReported US plan to fund Brazil’s far right5 अक्टू॰, 8:37 pm UTCLula’s statement about foreign interference5 अक्टू॰, 8:37 pm UTCLula’s campaign video on sovereignty5 अक्टू॰, 8:37 pm UTCहर पंक्ति उस संस्थान की रिपोर्ट से हमारे द्वारा दर्ज किया गया दावा है। 7 अक्टूबर 2026 को 11:12 pm UTC बजे तक तुलना की गई।संबंधित कवरेजवही घटना·2 अक्टू॰, 4:32 pm UTCअमेरिका की सहयोगियों को डीज़ल आपूर्ति रोकने की धमकी के बाद G7 ने भंडार जारी करने का वादा किया
