灾害 · 军事训练持续报道 · 第 4 篇，共 4 篇

Wainwright命令建议早间射击。士兵于下午4点被火焰吞没。

10月的防火措施让人更加关注在已知火灾旁继续实弹训练的决定。新证据并不能证明有人违反了命令。

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译自英文原文。

持续报道第 5 天

4 篇报道73 家媒体162 个来源48 个视频

完整报道
  1. 第 1 次更新韦恩赖特加拿大军队基地火势蔓延至训练区外，死亡人数已获确认
  2. 第 2 次更新韦恩赖特4名士兵死亡，训练决策面临审查
  3. 第 3 次更新韦恩赖特火灾：4名士兵遇难；39名患者中包括12名门诊患者
  4. 第 4 次更新Wainwright命令建议早间射击。士兵于下午4点被火焰吞没。当前位置

自上次报道以来的变化

25 小时后

当时

韦恩赖特火灾：4名士兵遇难；39名患者中包括12名门诊患者

现在

10月的防火措施让人更加关注在已知火灾旁继续实弹训练的决定。新证据并不能证明有人违反了命令。

新的进展

  • 指挥官评估称附近火灾已受控制，训练也已持续一段时间，之后部队被火焰吞没。

Wainwright靶场命令建议，在夏末和秋季火灾季节，大部分实弹射击应在上午约10点前完成。士兵约在下午4点被火焰吞没——此前指挥官已知附近发生草地火灾，但判断火势已受控制。这一时间差并不能证明违反了命令，却使继续训练的决定，而不仅是最后的风向转变，成为调查四人死亡事件的核心。2

新近报道的安全指示指出，10月是加拿大艾伯塔省Wainwright加拿大军队基地草地火灾高风险月份。一份单独的军方备忘录则将10月17日预定演习的火灾指数评为低。这两项评估不一定相互矛盾：一项描述季节性危险，另一项描述针对特定演习评估的状况。关键在于，当天的评估是如何作出的，以及天气变化时，这项评估是否仍然充分。2 1

遇难的4名士兵分别是：来自埃德蒙顿的Morgan Wong中士；来自萨斯喀彻温省Prince Albert的Shaun Farrell列兵；来自不列颠哥伦比亚省North Vancouver的Aidan Goulding列兵；以及来自不列颠哥伦比亚省Langley的Hayden Lykkemark列兵。他们的家人已接到通知。经确认的军方死亡人数仍为4人。1

在10月19日的播报中，我们报道了4人死亡、39人接受医院照护。我们10月20日的更新澄清，周日的详细统计中包括12名门诊患者，因此并非39人都必然仍在住院。新材料让火势席卷部队前的防范措施和决策情况更加明晰，但既未证实新的死亡人数，也没有告诉家属伤者现在的情况。

靶场命令的实际要求

Global News于10月20日报道，基地2024年《靶场常规命令》建议，从8月至10月安排清晨实弹射击演习；在这段时期，火灾危险通常较低，大部分弹药可在约1000时前打完。这是安排时间的指导，而非已确立的10点后绝对禁止射击规定。因此，仅凭下午举行演习，不能证明违反了命令。2

据报道，相关指示还要求立即向靶场控制部门报告草地或灌木火灾，要求每天两次查看天气预报，并规定了停止训练的程序。调查人员需要查明提交了哪些报告、哪些预报传达给了指挥官，以及实际情况是否触发了具体的停止规则。存在这些程序，为评估决策提供了依据，但并未预先给出结论。2

文件本身还有一个尚未解决的问题。命令要求每年审查，并在指挥权更迭后重新发布。Brian Churney于2025年4月4日接任指挥官，但2024年命令此后是否经过修订或重新发布，仍不清楚。我们尚未独立查阅完整命令或其修订记录。2

这一区别很重要。风向转变有助于解释火焰如何到达士兵所在位置。要判断继续训练是否合理，就必须重建风向转变前几个小时的情况，包括将火灾视为受控的依据。

火灾到来前的几个小时

我们此前提到火灾约在下午4点发生，这一说法需要进一步 уточ明。Rutland后来公开的说法称，火灾在吞没部队前已在基地燃烧数小时。因此，下午4点应理解为大致的火势席卷时间，而不是已经确定的起火时间。2

10月17日：迹象、警告与火势席卷

  1. 10月17日下午12:17

    Global News报道称，卫星在基地范围内发现59个可能的热点，分布跨度约1.6公里。这些探测结果尚未与致命火灾联系起来。

    3
  2. 10月17日下午2:15

    据Global News报道，加拿大环境部针对包括Wainwright在内的Lloydminster地区发布警告，预报阵风最高可达每小时100公里。

    3
  3. 10月17日，山区夏令时下午约4点

    指挥官评估称附近火灾已受控制，训练也已持续一段时间，之后部队被火焰吞没。

    2

Global News的卫星分析援引野火研究员Mike Flannigan的解读称，探测结果显示基地至少发生过一场更早的火灾，同时也不排除发生过多场火灾。这里尚未独立核实相关卫星记录及传感器元数据。无论是这些探测结果，还是其1.6公里的跨度，都不能确定致命火灾的身份、起火时间、燃烧面积或蔓延距离。Rutland本人此前的说法已表明，在火势席卷部队前，已有一场已知火灾。3

区域风力警告同样意义重大，但它并非对士兵所在位置的测量。此前一份官方说法提到阵风风速约为每小时70公里；区域预报所称阵风最高可达每小时100公里，描述的是另一种情况。两者都不能确定部队被火势席卷的确切地点和时刻的风力，也不能证明是否达到了针对具体地点设定的训练门槛。3 11

Rutland称，火势在30至60秒内推进了约1公里。总理Mark Carney称，火势在不到一分钟内推进了近1公里。这些回忆传达了紧急情况来势之快，但并非仪器测量数据，无法据此计算精确的蔓延速度。问题在于，火势受控的评估是否考虑了火势可能如此迅速推进的情况。8 5

伤亡情况说明，而非病情预后

Global News取得的战略联合参谋部周日备忘录记录称，31名士兵伤势“非常严重或严重”，另有6至8人轻伤。15人接受了气管插管——将导管置入气道以辅助呼吸——并被送往埃德蒙顿的阿尔伯塔大学医院和皇家亚历山德拉医院。这15人已包含在伤情类别中，并非额外伤员。1

备忘录中的分类得出的伤员暂定范围为37至39人，而非经核实的确切总数。备忘录明确警告，评估结果可能变化。其伤情分类也不能与住院或重症监护类别互换使用。1

我们此前报道的周日临床分类统计为：19人情况危及生命、8名患者病情稳定，另有12名门诊患者。Boston Herald刊载的美联社早先报道将19例危重病例的日期记为周日；此后，WQOW转述的美联社报道则称，周一有19人病情危重。后来的措辞并未记录新的临床检查或病情变化。目前仍没有更新的、经独立核实的统计，能够确认当前住院、插管或患者预后情况。7 5

救援行动动用了Wainwright周边的军方和民间资源。Wainwright是一个约有6,500人的城镇，位于埃德蒙顿以东约200公里处。加拿大皇家空军从埃德蒙顿派出7架Griffon直升机，并从温尼伯派出1架Hercules飞机；10名搜救技术员跳伞进入一处田地。STARS从埃德蒙顿和萨斯卡通派出空中救护机，附近城镇则派出地面救护车。1

备忘录还称，火焰越过防火带，蔓延到基地外，并迫使一户人家撤离。周日的描述称火势已受控制，但仍在燃烧。这份有日期的记录并不能证明后来已解除警报、火灾已扑灭、居民已返回住所或房屋结构损失已得到评估。1

调查人员仍需查明的事项

Carney于10月19日宣布，50名调查人员正在调查火灾，由加拿大军队国家调查局牵头，皇家骑警提供支持。军方还提到军事警察和军方消防元帅团队已参与或预计将参与调查。这些都是特定日期的描述，并非经核实的当前人员名单。此前的说法称，正式调查委员会可能成立或预计将成立，但尚未确认其已召集。政府承诺公布调查结果，但尚未确定发布日期。4 12 127 159

起火原因仍未确定。正如我们此前报道，关于训练弹药引燃草地的初步推测仍未得到证实。有关爆炸的先后顺序和成因也尚无定论；风向转变这一说法并未回答上述任何问题。8 5

新近报道的防范措施使问责问题变得更具体，而非更确定。调查人员必须对照季节性指导意见、当时可用的预报，以及指挥官实际评估的情况，查明“已受控制”究竟意味着什么。目前的证据尚不能证明这些死亡本可以避免，但它确实说明，如果解释仅限于最后那阵迅速蔓延的火焰，就不完整。

播出原貌 30 行
  1. Wainwright's range orders identify October as a high-risk month for grass fires.
  2. Four soldiers died during live-fire training after commanders believed a nearby fire was contained. The newly detailed precautions put the decision to keep training at the centre of the investigation.
  3. On October 19, we reported four deaths and 39 people receiving hospital care. Our October 20 update clarified that 12 were outpatients. The additional detail now concerns the precautions commanders were meant to consider before continuing training.
  4. Why did training continue beside a known fire, and how did commanders account for the changing weather?
  5. The soldiers were training at Canadian Forces Base Wainwright in Alberta on October 17. Nearby Wainwright has about 6,500 residents. It's roughly 200 kilometres east of Edmonton, near the Saskatchewan border, far from the specialist hospitals that received severely injured soldiers.
  6. The 2024 orders recommend early-morning firing from August through October, with most ammunition fired before approximately ten. Units were engulfed around four that afternoon. The guidance ties scheduling to fire conditions, so investigators will need to examine the conditions commanders actually assessed.
  7. The orders also require grass or brush fires to be reported immediately to Range Control. They call for weather forecasts twice daily and include procedures for stopping training. The morning guidance is a scheduling recommendation. Whether a particular stopping rule applied that Saturday depends on the conditions and instructions in force.
  8. The orders call for annual review and reissue after a change of command. Brian Churney took command on April 4, 2025. Whether the 2024 orders were revised or reissued afterward is still unclear.
  9. The military's Sunday memo rated the fire index low for the scheduled exercise. It described strong winds driving flames into the soldiers' administrative area. The Strategic Joint Staff, which issued the memo, reports directly to the chief of defence staff.
  10. A low daily index can sit alongside a seasonal warning about October. Investigators need to determine how that index was calculated, when it was assessed, and how commanders responded as conditions changed.
  11. Major-General Wade Rutland said commanders knew the fire was burning but believed it was contained. Training continued for a period before the wind shifted. He described the fire advancing about a kilometre in 30 to 60 seconds.
  12. Prime Minister Mark Carney described nearly a kilometre in less than a minute. Those descriptions convey how quickly the emergency unfolded. Rutland also said the fire had burned for hours before reaching the units. Our earlier four p.m. shorthand needs refining: that's approximately when troops were engulfed. The ignition time remains unresolved.
  13. Environment Canada issued a regional warning at two fifteen, forecasting gusts up to 100 kilometres an hour. It covered the Lloydminster region, including Wainwright. An earlier official account described gusts around 70 kilometres an hour.
  14. The regional forecast doesn't tell us the wind at the soldiers' position when flames reached them. Investigators will have to reconstruct how commanders used the warning while assessing a fire they already knew about.
  15. Satellite imagery reportedly showed 59 possible hotspots at twelve seventeen, spanning roughly 1.6 kilometres. Those detections haven't been tied to the fatal fire. Their span doesn't tell us how far the flames travelled or how much ground burned.
  16. Wildfire researcher Mike Flannigan interpreted the detections as showing at least one earlier fire on the base, while allowing for multiple fires. The soldiers' own commander's account already places a known fire before the overrun.
  17. The Sunday military memo counted 31 soldiers with very serious or serious injuries, and six to eight with minor injuries. Fifteen were intubated. Those 15 overlap the injury groups, and the memo warned that casualty assessments could change.
  18. That produces a provisional range of 37 to 39 injured. It doesn't settle a final injury total or tell families how patients are doing now.
  19. The memo said the 15 intubated soldiers were sent to the University of Alberta Hospital and Royal Alexandra Hospital in Edmonton. Intubation means placing a tube into a person's airway to support breathing.
  20. Sunday's clinical breakdown counted 19 people in life-threatening condition, eight stable patients and 12 outpatients. Monday accounts also described 19 critical cases. We still don't know how many remain admitted or how their conditions have changed.
  21. The four soldiers killed were Sergeant Morgan Wong of Edmonton, Private Shaun Farrell of Prince Albert, Private Aidan Goulding of North Vancouver, and Private Hayden Lykkemark of Langley. Their families have been notified. Four remains the confirmed military death toll.
  22. The Royal Canadian Air Force dispatched seven Griffon helicopters from Edmonton and a Hercules aircraft from Winnipeg. Ten search-and-rescue technicians parachuted from the Hercules into a field in Wainwright to help with the response.
  23. STARS sent air ambulances from Edmonton and Saskatoon. Nearby towns sent ground ambulances to help transfer the injured. Canadian Blood Services encouraged donations in the days and weeks ahead, while surrounding communities supported those affected.
  24. The fire also crossed a fire guard and spread beyond the base, forcing one family home to be evacuated. Sunday's memo described the blaze as contained but still burning. A later all-clear or return to that home hasn't been announced.
  25. About 84 Charlie Company members were described as training at two locations. A broader account put roughly 350 troops at the training. Those figures may describe different groups. The military memo identified Charlie Company with the Third Battalion, Princess Patricia's Canadian Light Infantry.
  26. The battalion is based at Edmonton Garrison. Rutland described high-intensity combat preparation with live ammunition, for a global response force ready to move within hours. He also described preparation for deployments to Latvia in April and May to reinforce the brigade there.
  27. Carney announced on Monday, October 19, that 50 investigators were examining the fire. The Canadian Forces National Investigation Service was leading, with Royal Canadian Mounted Police support. Military police and the military fire marshal's team were also identified as involved or expected.
  28. Investigators still haven't determined what ignited the grass. A preliminary suggestion that training ammunition sparked it remains unconfirmed. The sequence and role of reported explosions are also unresolved. A wind shift helps explain the advance toward soldiers, while the ignition and training decisions require their own investigation.
  29. Carney ordered flags on federal buildings to half-mast and said the nation was mourning the members it had lost. He also questioned why training continued while officials knew a fire was burning nearby.
  30. Commanders' explanation is that they believed the fire was contained. Investigators must now test that judgment against the seasonal precautions, weather warnings and changing conditions. Whether the deaths could have been prevented remains unresolved. Public findings have been promised, but no release date has been announced.

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