灾害 · 特鲁迪飓风

墨西哥取消特鲁迪沿海警报，但危险海浪仍将持续

特鲁迪仍是一场风速达100 mph、位于海上的飓风。涌浪和新增降雨仍威胁墨西哥太平洋沿岸，港口和海滩的重新开放时间也尚未得到核实。

播出 文字 阅读需 5 分钟122 个来源HeyDay News Desk · About usWatch report
与 HeyDex 一起探索

通过 RSS 关注

原语言视频

文字实录 · 正在加载

译自英文原文。

新闻追踪第 7 天

1 篇报道58 家媒体122 个来源

  • 暂无标注日期的事件
  1. 第 1 次更新墨西哥取消特鲁迪沿海警报，但危险海浪仍将持续当前位置

对于等待出海捕鱼、经曼萨尼约港运送货物或重返科利马海滩的人来说，特鲁迪飓风减弱并远离海岸，并未提供经核实的恢复这些活动的时间。10月17日报道的港口和海滩关闭已影响工作和休闲活动；截至10月18日最新评估时，尚未确定重新开放时间。与此同时，危险的海浪和离岸流预计还将持续两到三天。5 85

2026年10月18日星期日，墨西哥取消了所有沿海风暴监视和警报；当时特鲁迪仍是二级飓风，最大持续风速为100 mph。这一变化反映的是风暴正在远离大陆，而不是海洋已经变得安全。85

21:00 UTC，美国国家飓风中心称，特鲁迪位于曼萨尼约西北偏西约180英里、卡沃科连特斯西南约105英里处。风暴中心尚未登陆，预报也显示它将继续停留在海上。飓风正以约6 mph的速度向西北移动，预计当夜开始迅速减弱。但减弱仍是预报结果，并非已观测到的事实。85 17

目前没有生效的沿海监视和警报。

美国国家飓风中心 85

第22号公告中的这句话取代了此前从曼萨尼约以北至卡沃科连特斯的飓风警报，以及其他沿海警报，包括玛丽亚斯群岛的警报。但沿海飓风警报与当地的航行或海滩出入限制，是不同的决定。前者解除，并不能说明其他限制也已取消。2 85

危险持续时间超过最近接近时段

星期日的位置更新显示，特鲁迪中心继续远离海岸时，其报告的持续风速仍保持在100 mph。00:00 UTC时，风暴中心位于曼萨尼约西南约100英里处；到18:00 UTC时，位于西面约165英里处。更新后的21:00 UTC定位显示，它已进一步远离。因而，沿海前景改善并不以飓风已经减弱为前提。2 14 7

飓风级风力最远可延伸至中心外30英里，热带风暴级风力最远可达90英里。恶劣海况波及范围要大得多：西北象限内，距中心最远150海里处仍有4米高的海浪。这些海上状况并不代表某一具体海滩的浪高测量，但说明远离最强风区并不能可靠地作为水上安全的判断标准。44

美国国家飓风中心仍提示，星期日下午和晚上，墨西哥中西部沿海部分地区及玛丽亚斯群岛可能出现达到热带风暴强度的阵风。风暴潮引发的洪水预计将在下午和夜间消退。大涌浪持续时间更长：西南部和中西部沿海地区预计未来两到三天仍有可能致命的海浪和离岸流。85

降雨仍是一个令人担忧的问题。最新预报称，截至星期日夜间，哈利斯科州沿海及附近地区还将有1至4英寸降雨，局部地区可能发生山洪和泥石流，陡峭地形尤其如此。风暴中心远离陆地，并不能消除持续降雨带来的风险。85

此前的预报称，米却肯州、科利马州和哈利斯科州将有4至8英寸降雨，局部地区约12英寸。这些数字涵盖的区域和时段，与较新的哈利斯科州额外降雨预报不同；不应将它们视为对同一情况的相互矛盾估算。两份预报都无法确定实际降雨量。截至本次评估所依据的报道，尚未确认曼萨尼约或科利马有与特鲁迪相关的经核实雨量站总降雨量。2 65

风暴已经造成的影响

陆地影响已不再只是潜在风险。10月18日，Meteored报道称，民防部门提供的信息显示，科利马市、比利亚德阿尔瓦雷斯和曼萨尼约这几个社区出现洪水、树木倒伏和车辆被困。报道证实，截至周日上午已有相关影响报告，但并不表示每种事件都发生在每个市镇，也不表示这些事件都是当天开始的。39

影响规模仍未确定。没有经核实的逐市镇事件数量、受损住宅或商铺总数，也没有经济损失评估。具体滑坡事件也尚未得到确认。这个区别很重要：洪水已有记录，但全部损失以及其他几项危险仍未确定。39

据《La Razón》报道，截至10月18日中午，国家民防官员表示，格雷罗州、米却肯州、哈利斯科州和科利马州没有死亡或受伤报告。这项初步评估仅涵盖这四个州和该报道时段。它并非全国最终伤亡统计，也不意味着没有发生洪水或财产受损。69

相关限制措施已经带来实际影响。据报道，曼萨尼约港已对所有船舶关闭；10月17日的报道仍称港口和海滩处于关闭状态。曼萨尼约、特科曼和阿尔梅里亚实施了海滩出入限制，休闲活动也已暂停。这些命令影响了以水上作业为生的人，也影响了希望前往海边的游客。2 5 56

科利马还准备了六处临时避难所，以接收民众。报道确认的是这些避难所已做好准备，而不是有人入住。使用这些避难所的人数、可容纳人数以及最新运行状况都尚未得到核实。同样，取消警报并未说明受影响的港口和海滩何时可以重新开放。71 5

预报称风暴将减弱，而非已成事实

接下来预计特鲁迪的风速将大幅下降。美国国家飓风中心（NHC）21:00 UTC发布的预报称，10月19日星期一06:00 UTC风速将为90 mph，18:00 UTC将为75 mph。预计到10月20日星期二06:00 UTC，风速将降至60 mph，低于飓风强度；当晚则为45 mph。以上数值均为预测，起点是已观测到的100 mph风速。17

预计风暴中心将在星期一和星期二远离墨西哥大陆，并经过南下加利福尼亚州以南。预报人员预计，到10月21日星期三06:00 UTC，风暴将减弱为残余低压；到10月22日18:00 UTC消散，同时也不排除这两种情况会更早发生。17

对沿海地区而言，眼前更迫切的问题是：当夜新增降雨和持续涌浪会造成什么影响，以及当地政府何时会认定航行和海滩出入已足够安全，可以恢复。特鲁迪远离海岸是令人欣慰的消息，但这本身并不意味着警报解除。

播出原貌 15 行
  1. Mexico lifts every coastal warning while Hurricane Trudy keeps blowing at 100 miles an hour. Dangerous surf and rip currents threaten the Pacific shoreline for another two to three days. Port and beach restrictions have already disrupted shipping and recreation. The immediate question is how much danger remains as the hurricane moves away.
  2. Trudy’s center is about 180 miles west-northwest of Manzanillo and 105 miles southwest of Cabo Corrientes. The Category 2 hurricane remains offshore. Its center hasn’t made landfall, and the latest forecast takes it farther away from mainland Mexico.
  3. Trudy’s sustained winds have held at 100 miles an hour through Sunday’s position updates. Earlier, its center was about 100 miles southwest of Manzanillo, then 165 miles west. The latest fix puts it farther offshore. The storm strengthened to Category 2 on October 17. Sunday afternoon’s reading continues that intensity, with rapid weakening expected to begin overnight.
  4. Mexico has ended warnings for its coastline and the Islas Marías. That replaces the earlier hurricane warning from Manzanillo north to Cabo Corrientes. Local authorities still control beach access and navigation restrictions, through decisions separate from the coastal hurricane warnings.
  5. Hurricane-force winds reach up to 30 miles from Trudy’s center, compared with 35 miles earlier. Tropical-storm-force winds extend as far as 90 miles. The center is moving northwest at six miles an hour, down from ten. Central pressure is 974 millibars, down from 976. Forecast gusts reach 105 knots, above the sustained wind speed of 85 knots.
  6. Manzanillo’s port was closed to all navigation, and October 17 updates continued to describe the closure. Authorities also restricted beach access in Manzanillo, Tecomán and Armería, suspending recreational activities. Those orders affected people working on the water as well as beachgoers.
  7. Colima prepared six temporary shelters to receive people. The preparations were already in place on October 17 as authorities kept the port and beaches closed. For coastal communities, the hurricane’s retreat changes the weather outlook, while local restrictions determine when fishing, shipping and recreation can resume. Rain also remains a threat beyond the immediate shoreline.
  8. Earlier forecasts called for four to eight inches across Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco, locally about twelve. The latest forecast calls for one to four additional inches along and near Jalisco’s coast through Sunday night. These forecasts cover different areas and periods.
  9. Flooding, fallen trees and stranded vehicles have already disrupted Colima. Those effects were reported across the group of communities comprising Colima city, Villa de Álvarez and Manzanillo by Sunday morning. Heavy rain and gusty winds affected parts of southwestern and west-central Mexico. The additional rain could bring localized flash flooding and mudslides, especially on steep terrain.
  10. National civil protection officials reported no deaths or injuries through midday October 18 in Guerrero, Michoacán, Jalisco and Colima. That preliminary assessment covers those four states and that reporting window. The flooding and other disruption in Colima had already been reported.
  11. Dangerous water can outlast the hurricane’s closest approach. Gusts reaching tropical-storm strength were still possible along parts of west-central Mexico’s coast and the Islas Marías during Sunday afternoon and evening. Storm-surge flooding was expected to subside during the afternoon and night. Large swells, however, were forecast to keep reaching the coast well beyond that period.
  12. Trudy’s swells are expected to affect southwestern and west-central Mexico for another two to three days. They can produce life-threatening surf and rip currents. The center’s movement offshore still leaves people along the shoreline exposed to dangerous conditions in the sea.
  13. Four-meter seas extended far beyond the hurricane’s strongest winds, reaching 150 nautical miles from the center in the northwest quadrant. An earlier warning described waves potentially reaching six meters. That was a forecast hazard. Offshore, the storm’s next major change should be a sharp loss of strength, with the latest forecast setting out a step-by-step decline.
  14. Trudy’s observed winds are 100 miles an hour. Monday’s forecast drops them to 90, then 75. Tuesday brings 60, then 45, below hurricane strength. Wednesday’s forecast falls to 35, then 25. Every value after the starting point is a forecast.
  15. Trudy’s projected route passes south of Baja California Sur on Monday and Tuesday. Forecasters expect a remnant low by early Wednesday, October 21, and dissipation by October 22. Both could happen sooner. Overnight rain and the continuing swells remain immediate coastal hazards. Local authorities haven’t announced when Manzanillo’s port and the affected beaches can reopen.

来源

122 个来源58 家媒体2 篇通稿

来源地图

追溯本篇报道的依据。图谱展示其关联；下方链接可打开本文引用的来源。

来源图谱将在您阅读时加载。

探索完整的新闻编辑室图谱 ↗

译文更新于

修订记录

  1. r1首次发布。