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灾害 · 不列颠哥伦比亚省风暴

风暴再度逼近不列颠哥伦比亚省,Zeballos 下令撤离 22 处房产

星期六早晨,不列颠哥伦比亚省仍有约 40,000 名电力用户断电;与此同时,Zeballos 家庭等待安全返家的决定,渡轮也取消了更多航班。

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译自英文原文。

由于暴雨可能给温哥华岛上的小社区带来洪水和山体滑坡,Zeballos 的 22 处房产被下令撤离。附近,另一项警报下的居民被告知,如果接到指令,须做好在 30 分钟内撤离的准备。对这些家庭来说,第一场紧急情况尚未结束,下一场风暴就已逼近。⁠5⁠13

该村于 11 月 6 日星期五宣布进入地方紧急状态。到星期六上午 8 时,不列颠哥伦比亚省仍有约 40,000 名电力用户断电;面对又一轮强风,BC Ferries 也在取消更多航班。维修人员面临艰巨任务:在新的故障不断出现之际,恢复用户供电。⁠12⁠17⁠19

22Zeballos 房产被下令撤离 5
~40,000星期六早晨不列颠哥伦比亚省断电用户 1719
~80,000周五停电人数峰值 1719

Zeballos 约有 125 名居民,但这并非撤离人数,房产数量也不是。撤离令涉及村庄的一部分,而非整个社区;官员尚未确定有多少人已经离开。⁠1⁠5

Ehattesaht Nation 首领 Simon John 描述说,暴雨过后,河水水位急剧上涨,河道已满。危险来自水道水位暴涨与山坡不稳定两方面;因可能发生山体滑坡而下达的撤离令,并不能证明每一处受威胁的山坡都已发生滑坡。⁠1⁠12

离开、做好准备和就地避险是不同的安排

11 月 6 日的紧急通知要求撤离的房产包括 Maquinna Avenue 101–118 号和 Pandora Crescent 202–216 号。接到撤离令的人必须离开。紧急援助登记地点为 Zeballos Fire Hall,地址是 Maquinna Avenue 155 号。⁠12

另一项警报涉及 Ferris Road 402、404 和 406 号。警报要求居民和访客做好在接到命令后不到 30 分钟内离开的准备,并将持续有效,直至另行通知。警报并不等于要求立即离开,但也不保证继续留在原地仍然安全。⁠13⁠16

同一份 11 月 6 日通知建议 Pandora、Gold Valley 和 Reno Roads 周边的其他居民留在家中避险,除非另有指示。通知还关闭了 Maquinna Avenue 101 至 118 号之间的路段。这些是该日期通知中规定的限制,并不能证明所有道路限制或撤离范围一直没有变化。该村和 Strathcona Regional District 启动了应急行动中心。⁠12

现有报道中没有注明日期的撤离解除通知。因此,最重要的当地问题仍未解决:官员何时会认定受威胁房产已经足够安全,可以让住户返回。

维修工作与下一轮天气系统赛跑

省级停电数字反映的是风暴期间不同时间点的情况,并非对同一总数的相互矛盾说法。CBC 周五晚间的报道称,截至最后一次统计,至少有 30,000 人断电。随后报道显示,周五停电人数峰值约为 80,000 人;到星期六上午 8 时,仍有约 40,000 人未恢复供电。⁠1⁠17⁠19

CHEK 周六的标题采用了 80,000 这一数字,但正文称早晨仍有约 40,000 人断电,与 CBC 周六的报道一致。较大的数字指的是周五的峰值;不应将其描述为周六早晨的停电人数。⁠17⁠19

周五停电人数达到峰值时,仅温哥华岛就有超过 30,000 名用户断电。中部内陆地区和北部地区约有 23,000 名用户在 100 Mile House、Williams Lake、Quesnel 和 Vanderhoof 断电;Prince George 一度有约三分之一地区停电。这些地区性统计反映的是不同时间点的情况,不应相加并视为同时发生、互不重叠的总数。⁠19⁠21

维修人员重点抢修 Port Hardy、Courtenay、Qualicum 和 Prince George 等受灾严重地区,修复受损线路、电线杆及其他设备。BC Hydro 预计修复工作将持续到星期六,并正监测到周中可能出现的另外两场、甚至三场天气系统。相关方面正在准备承包商和其他资源,以应对持续时间较长的抢修工作。⁠21

BC Hydro 表示,长期干旱和高温可能使树木和树根变弱,导致它们在风雨来袭时更容易受损。这解释了一种风险来源,但不能证明每一条受损线路都是由干旱造成的。该电力公司称,过去几年已投入 $150 million,用于识别并清除设备附近的危险树木和植被。⁠21

该公司的即时安全建议更加具体:与倒下、受损或低垂的电线保持至少 10 米距离,并向紧急服务部门报告。附近停电并不意味着倒地的电线就安全。BC Hydro 还建议准备一套储备齐全、可供 72 小时使用的应急包,包括饮用水、不易变质的食物、手电筒、电池和急救用品。⁠21

更多风雨来袭,渡轮航班取消

由于预报有强风和大浪,BC Ferries 取消了星期六太平洋时间晚上 7 时和 9 时往返 Tsawwassen 与 Swartz Bay 的航班。较小航线也有航班取消,更多班次仍面临取消风险。因此,周五的交通中断并非只是等待清理的积压,另一轮中断已经排上日程。⁠19

「我们的工作人员和运营团队正密切监测情况。虽然我们始终力求让人们能够出行,但乘客和船员的安全必须放在首位,」BC Ferries 发言人 Lilian Kim 说。⁠19

星期六发布的警告针对不同地区。温哥华岛北部预报阵风最高可达每小时 110 公里,预计傍晚晚些时候减弱,但夜间仍有阵风。南海岸大部分地区将有东南风,风速每小时 70 公里,阵风每小时 90 公里,预计午夜前后风力减弱。警告覆盖温哥华岛大部分地区,包括 Victoria,以及大温哥华地区、南部海湾群岛、阳光海岸和 Fraser Canyon。这些是预报,并非实测最高风速。⁠17⁠19

降雨数字也需要注明统计时段。周五晚间的初步报道称,部分地区此前 24 小时降雨量高达 175 毫米,并预报截至周末结束,温哥华岛部分地区累计降雨量约为 250 毫米,局部地区还会更多——其中包括已经降下的雨量。星期六的报道称,自星期四以来,岛上部分地区的累计降雨量最高达 210 毫米。较长的统计时段可能产生更大的总量,这并不与早先的测量结果矛盾。⁠1⁠19

另一份天气展望预计,在接下来一周内,温哥华岛部分地区在当前及即将到来的天气系统影响下,降雨量可能达到或超过 400 毫米。这是较长时间范围内的预报,并非已观测到的总量,也不意味着还保证会降下另外 400 毫米的雨。⁠6

高河流水位预警覆盖温哥华岛大部分地区、南部和中部海岸、Sea-to-Sky 地区以及 Fraser River 下游流域。温哥华岛北部和西部的水道水位迅速上涨。在该岛西海岸大部分地区,海平面升高、海浪和高潮位也使低洼海岸线很可能发生轻微洪水——这与 Zeballos 撤离令所针对的河流水患和山坡风险是不同的危险。⁠19

威胁也不只来自夜间的沿海大风。一份内陆地区天气声明覆盖 Hope 至北部 Burns Lake 一带,预计风速为每小时 60–80 公里,星期六下午将增强,并在星期日早晨达到峰值。另一股冷锋预计将在星期日下午带来更强的风。尚未确认最终的停电恢复数量,也没有注明日期的撤离解除通知:接下来真正的考验是房屋、维修成果和交通线路能否经受住下一轮天气。⁠19

来源14

在此处引用的来源中,nanaimonewsnow.com最先发布,比本报道播出早32小时。 随后还有8家媒体发布。

5家媒体未注明日期:cbc.caBC Gov NewsCanada's National Observercheknews.caglobalnews.ca

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来自 14 家媒体的 21 个来源· 引用最多的优先

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  1. Zeballos officials have ordered twenty-two properties evacuated because of flooding and landslide danger. About forty thousand electricity customers across British Columbia remain disconnected as another storm approaches. When can evacuated households return, and can repair crews catch up before more lines fail?
  2. The Village declared a local state of emergency on Friday, November sixth. Zeballos has about 125 residents, but the evacuation order covers part of the village. Twenty-two is a property count. Officials haven't given a count of the people who left.
  3. Ehattesaht Nation Chief Simon John described a river that had risen sharply and was full after heavy rain. Flooding and unstable slopes threatened the community together. The Village and Strathcona Regional District activated their emergency operations centres.
  4. Residents under an evacuation order were required to leave. A separate alert told affected residents and visitors to prepare to leave in under thirty minutes if instructed. That alert was issued until further notice. Emergency support registration was directed to the Zeballos Fire Hall, at 155 Maquinna Avenue.
  5. The November sixth notice also encouraged other residents around Pandora, Gold Valley and Reno Roads to shelter at home unless directed otherwise. It closed Maquinna Avenue between numbers 101 and 118. Those were the restrictions set out in that notice.
  6. About eighty thousand customers lost power at Friday's provincial peak. An earlier Friday-evening check had put the number at at least thirty thousand. By eight Saturday morning, about forty thousand were still disconnected. Those numbers describe different points in the storm and repair effort.
  7. The fall from about eighty thousand to about forty thousand shows the scale of the restoration work. But new failures were developing while crews repaired earlier damage. BC Hydro expected repairs to continue through Saturday, with further outages possible.
  8. Vancouver Island alone had more than thirty thousand customers without power at Friday's peak. Across the central Interior and North, about twenty-three thousand lost electricity in 100 Mile House, Williams Lake, Quesnel and Vanderhoof. About one-third of Prince George was without power at one point. Those regional figures cover different snapshots and shouldn't be added together.
  9. Prince George was among the hard-hit areas targeted for repairs, along with Port Hardy, Courtenay and Qualicum. Farther south, the Tsawwassen–Swartz Bay ferry crossing faced more cancellations. Zeballos's evacuation emergency was unfolding within a much wider disruption to electricity and travel.
  10. Crews had to repair damaged lines, poles and other electrical equipment. BC Hydro was monitoring two, and potentially three, more weather systems through midweek. It was preparing crews, contractors and other resources for an extended response, while the next storm threatened equipment already under strain.
  11. BC Hydro says prolonged drought and heat can weaken trees and their roots, leaving them more vulnerable when wind and rain arrive. The utility says it has spent 150 million dollars over the past several years identifying and removing dangerous trees and vegetation near lines.
  12. Downed wires add another danger for households already losing light and heat. BC Hydro advises people to stay at least ten metres from downed, damaged or low-hanging power lines, and report them to emergency services. A line can remain hazardous even when nearby homes have lost power.
  13. BC Hydro recommends a stocked seventy-two-hour emergency kit, including water, non-perishable food, flashlights, batteries and first-aid supplies. The next weather systems could prolong the response, even as crews reconnect customers affected by the first storm.
  14. BC Ferries cancelled more departures before the next strong winds arrived. Saturday's seven p.m. and nine p.m. sailings were cancelled in both directions between Tsawwassen and Swartz Bay because of forecast high winds and waves. Smaller routes also lost sailings, and more departures remained at risk.
  15. Some service had resumed after Friday's cancellations, but delays continued as operations caught up. Saturday's further cancellations extended the disruption. BC Ferries said its crews were monitoring conditions and that passenger and crew safety had to come first.
  16. Parts of Vancouver Island had received up to 210 millimetres of rain since Thursday. The earlier Friday-evening figure was up to 175 millimetres in some areas over twenty-four hours. The longer accumulation window explains why those figures can't be treated as the same measurement.
  17. The weekend forecast allowed about 250 millimetres, or locally more, in parts of Vancouver Island, including rain already received. A separate forecast allowed 400 millimetres or more across the current and incoming systems over the following week. That was a longer forecast horizon.
  18. The next coastal storm was expected Saturday, November seventh. Friday evening's initial outlook allowed gusts of 110 to 120 kilometres an hour in parts of the coast. Saturday's warnings narrowed the forecast by region, with different wind strengths and different times for conditions to ease.
  19. Northern Vancouver Island faced forecast gusts up to 110 kilometres an hour. Much of the South Coast faced southeasterly winds of seventy, gusting to ninety. The Interior outlook called for gusts of sixty to eighty kilometres an hour.
  20. Wind warnings covered most of Vancouver Island, including Victoria, plus Metro Vancouver, the Southern Gulf Islands, Sunshine Coast and Fraser Canyon. Northern Island winds were expected to ease by late afternoon but stay gusty overnight. South Coast winds were forecast to die down towards midnight.
  21. High-streamflow advisories covered most of Vancouver Island, the South and Central coasts, Sea-to-Sky and the lower Fraser River basin. Northern and western Island waterways were rising rapidly. Along much of the Island's west coast, elevated ocean levels, waves and high tides made minor low-lying shoreline flooding likely.
  22. Zeballos households still need a safe-return decision, while electricity customers need repairs that can withstand the next weather system. A dated evacuation all-clear and a final restoration count haven't been confirmed. The immediate outlook extends beyond the coast's overnight winds.
  23. The Interior's special weather statement stretched from Hope north to Burns Lake. Winds were expected to strengthen Saturday afternoon and peak Sunday morning. Another cold front was expected to bring stronger winds there Sunday afternoon.

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