报道持续报道 · 第 5 篇,共 8 篇
上午扬言毁灭,夜间称会谈富有成效:纽约三小时会谈后的霍尔木兹交易
原语言视频
译自英文原文。
自上次报道以来的变化
32 天后
当时
60天期限已过,协议未签,霍尔木兹海峡仍关闭当时尚无定论
- 所提供的节选中没有经核实的全文、完整条款清单,也没有霍尔木兹海峡四项条件的逐字表述。
- 没有经核实的美伊直接延长协议谈判记录;仅有伊朗方面称双方未进行此类谈判、信息通过中间人传递。
- 根据所提供的来源,无法独立核实航运、能源价格或清雷情况。
我们说过将关注的
- 华盛顿是否会就德黑兰提出的、与重新开放海峡挂钩的四项条件进行谈判。
- 失效的备忘录会被替代、恢复,还是被弃置,转而采取没有明确期限的施压。
现在
上午发出毁灭威胁,下午称会谈富有成效:纽约三小时会谈带来一项有条件的七天内重新开放霍尔木兹海峡提议,但谁与谁会了面,各方说法不一。
新的进展
- “重建或毁灭”演讲引发代表团离场。
- 纽约三小时会谈被称为“非常好”。
在纽约经过三小时穿梭传话,能否让有条件承诺在数日内重新开放霍尔木兹海峡变成油轮实际恢复通行?还是说,公开的毁灭威胁会让航运公司、油价和民众继续受制于下一道最后通牒?这是2026年9月22日提出的问题:当天上午还在谈要消灭对方,下午就转而称双方进行了“非常好、非常富有成效”的会谈。1
3小时9月22日纽约近距离会谈 1
7天有条件重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的提议 20
3艘9月23日通过霍尔木兹海峡的船只 21
~85霍尔木兹海峡通常每日通行量 28
能否与伊朗达成协议,让他们重建,建立一个远比以往更强大的国家?还是说,我要毁灭伊斯兰共和国,而且要迅速行动?
究竟是谁和谁会了面
威胁、会谈与倒计时
已知
未知
- 没有经核实的会面座次记录,没有签署文本,也没有商定核查封锁放松、资产解冻或停火的机制。
- 美国没有接受伊朗提出的任何一组条件。
后续
- 调停方能否促成一份标明日期的文本,以及航运公司能否在11月3日这一时间节点前恢复通行。
- 解除封锁是否会与油轮数量同步变化,还是威胁会再次出现。
相关人物
- 唐纳德·特朗普美国总统
- 史蒂夫·维特科夫美国特使
- 阿巴斯·阿拉格齐伊朗外交部长
- 贾里德·库什纳美国特使参与者
时间线
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上午扬言毁灭,夜间称会谈富有成效:纽约三小时会谈后的霍尔木兹交易我们的播报 · 第 6 次更新较新
特朗普拒绝伊朗的霍尔木兹海峡提议,七天倒计时从未启动我们的播报 · 第 7 次更新较新
也门战事致200,000人流离失所,机场遭袭我们的播报 · 第 8 次更新较新
GFS Pride号在霍尔木兹海峡沉没,21名船员全部撤离,留下沉船危险
来源57
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- HeyDay News
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来自 57 家媒体的 73 个来源· 引用最多的优先
X (formerly Twitter)x.com5
- I am honoured to announce that the historic ‘Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding’ has been electronically signed today between the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran. The Memorandum has been signed by honourable Presidents of both the countries and also endorsed by me as the mediator. The signing of this agreement at the highest level of the respective governments demonstrates the commitment of both sides to a diplomatic resolution of the conflict. Islamabad MoU shall enter into force with immediate effect and as a first step, Islamic Republic of Iran will instantly reopen the Strait of Hormuz and the United States of America will immediately lift the naval blockade. I offer my heartfelt congratulations and sincere appreciation to the President of the United States, Donald J. Trump whose steadfast commitment to diplomacy and preference for peaceful resolution have once again helped end a conflict that could have led to devastating consequences for the re...
- Mediators set up de-escalation channels ahead of US-Iran talks, source says https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2026/06/mediators-set-de-escalation-channels-ahead-us-iran-talks-source-says
- I just had a very lengthy and productive discussion with @SEPeaceMissions @SteveWitkoff about the state of play regarding Iran. After this discussion, it is my opinion that signing the MOU will be beneficial to the United States, in as much as the Strait of Hormuz will begin to open, and the hostilities with Iran will stop. Whether or not the United States can reach an acceptable, verifiable deal with Iran regarding its nuclear program and other issues is yet to be determined, but I see little downside to trying. The economic stability that comes from opening up the Strait and the cessation of hostilities could create a pathway to peace well beyond the Iranian conflict. The expansion of the Abraham Accords and normalizing relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel is President Trump’s and my ultimate goal. I think that is best achieved by creating economic stability for the United States, the region and the world, as well as the cessation of hostilities. The signing of the MOU is a...
- Following intensive talks, we are pleased to announce that the Peace Deal between the United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran has been REACHED. Both sides have declared the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon. The official signing ceremony will be on Friday, 19 June in Switzerland. We would like to thank the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran for their commitment to finding a diplomatic solution to the conflict. We would also like to extend our sincere appreciation to our brothers in this mediation effort, the great leadership of State of Qatar, for their support in reaching this agreement. I would also especially thank the visionary leadership of Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Republic of Türkiye for their immense contributions in this regard. With the agreement now in place, mediators will facilitate a series of meetings this week. These pre-implementation discussions will lay the foundat...
- 🎥 Remarks by Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on Special News Talk Program / Part 10 🔹 “Under the memorandum of understanding, Iran’s frozen assets will be unfrozen, and none of those assets will be subject to re-freezing in the future.” 🔹 “The agreement also includes an economic plan for rebuilding the damage inflicted on Iran. I hope that once it is finalized, state television will invite economic experts to discuss the details and explain to the public what will happen and how, through this process, substantial resources will be injected into the Iranian economy.”
Iran International | Iran Internationaliranintl.com2
Newsquawknewsquawk.com2
- Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, met with the Steve Witkoff, US special envoy, and Jared Kushner on the sidelines of the General Assembly at U.N headquarters in New York, according to NYT, citing two Iranian officials
- Iran suggests the Strait of Hormuz could reopen within seven days once the US blockade is lifted, Kyodo reports
AFP.comafp.com1
播出原貌
- Envoys talked for three hours after an annihilation threat.
- About a fifth of seaborne oil normally moves through the Strait of Hormuz, now down to a trickle, lifting fuel and food prices far beyond the waterway while a blockade squeezes ordinary Iranians and expanded war threatens mass civilian death.
- Will shuttling mediators turn a conditional seven-day reopening promise into ships moving again before the November election clock runs out?
- American and Iranian delegations spent about three hours in high-level contact in New York, disclosed later that day as very good and very productive, with another meeting set for the very near future and both sides described as moving toward a settlement.
- That rebuild-or-destruction binary emptied Iranian seats in the hall and set coercive terms for everything disclosed hours later, including companion warnings about driving them into hell and potential greatness or obliteration.
- Witkoff and Jared Kushner were named on the American side with Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on the Iranian side. Whether Araghchi and Witkoff sat in the same room remains contested, with the American description saying Witkoff and Kushner met with the mediators, not the highest level, but something, and that lengthy talks went through mediators shuttling all day to a constructive and promising round.
- The other description holds Araghchi met Witkoff at Witkoff's insistence to state Tehran's Hormuz conditions. Qatar is named as mediator, Pakistan in some accounts. The best-supported reading is high-level proximity talks over about three hours, with mediators to continue their work.
- Washington says the waterway is fully open and recovering at about 40 ships a day. Independent commercial trackers count about 12. Three vessels transited on September 23, below the 10-day average, against a norm of about 85. Tracking sites label the strait closed to war-risk insured vessels, insurance at 40 times normal, traffic thin.
- A senior Iranian official puts reopening within seven days if the United States eases military pressure and lifts its blockade on Iranian ports, calling the Assembly a golden opportunity and pointing to a proposal sent through mediators on September 16. The Iranian president would not meet Trump.
- A second Iranian formulation after the New York contact adds immediate lifting of the naval blockade, prompt payment and release of frozen Iranian assets, and an end to the war on all resistance fronts, explicitly including Lebanon. No American acceptance was announced, with no signed document, no published terms, and no agreed mechanism for verifying military easing, asset release, or a wider ceasefire.
- Trump says Tehran is waiting to see how he does November 3, 2026, the midterm elections, then argues it should not matter because he is not on the ballot. I'll be here 2.5 years. He predicts a deal right after the election because it doesn't make sense for them not to.
- The backdrop is a collapsed 2026 war-termination track after American and Israeli operations beginning in late February, Iranian restriction of the strait and an American naval blockade of Iranian ports, and a June memorandum framework that briefly contemplated reopening Hormuz and lifting the blockade before falling apart in summer.
- The answer is no settlement yet, only constructive and promising as the agreed adjective, two related but not identical Iranian condition lists, a contested seating account, and a November 3 prediction. Until shippers return, the blockade lifts, or a dated text appears, the strait remains the measure: either vessels move in prior numbers, or threats and proximity talks continue while prices and risks accumulate.
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